Key findings
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1. AI is not replacing agents in the job outlook.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects employment for real estate brokers and sales agents to grow from 532,200 jobs in 2024 to 548,700 in 2034, with about 46,300 openings each year. That is not what a fast replacement story looks like.
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2. Even with AI search, buyers and sellers still use agents.
NAR's 2025 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers found 88% of buyers purchased through an agent or broker and 91% of sellers used an agent. Portals, instant estimates, and AI search tools have not made most clients skip representation.
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3. Agents are using AI for marketing and admin work.
NAR's 2025 Technology Survey found 46% of agents who are REALTORS used AI-generated content, while RPR's 2026 survey found 68% of agents using AI save at least one hour a week. The current pattern is support work, not handing over the client relationship.
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4. AI home-value tools help, but they do not price every listing.
Zillow reports a 1.74% nationwide median error rate for on-market Zestimates and 7.20% for off-market homes. Redfin reports a similar split: 1.95% on-market and 7.49% off-market, which leaves room for local pricing judgment.
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5. AI threatens parts of the job, not the whole job.
Listing descriptions, lead follow-up, basic market summaries, and first-pass CMAs are exposed to AI. Pricing strategy, negotiation, inspections, local context, and broker supervision remain much harder to replace.
Why Is "Real Estate Agent" Too Broad for One AI Answer?
The better question is which real estate role and task you mean. O*NET's national employment trends list 420,900 real estate sales-agent jobs and 111,300 broker jobs in 2024, while BLS describes brokers as the licensed managers of real estate businesses and sales agents as working under brokers. That split matters because AI pressure lands on listing, search, and follow-up work before it reaches licensed judgment, negotiation, and broker accountability.
The phrase "real estate agent" blurs several categories. A real estate sales agent works under a broker. A broker can manage a brokerage and supervise agents. A Realtor is a member of the National Association of Realtors, not a separate BLS occupation. An "AI agent" is software. Search results often mix all four meanings, which is why many articles give a vague answer.
| Real Estate Sales Agents | Real Estate Brokers | |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 jobs | 420,900 | 111,300 |
| 2024–2034 outlook | +3% growth | +3% growth |
| Projected annual openings | 36,600 | 9,700 |
| Median pay, 2024 | $56,320 | $72,280 |
The role distinction matters because brokers carry more supervisory and business responsibility. BLS describes brokers as licensed to manage their own real estate businesses, while sales agents must work with a broker. O*NET's broker task list includes supervising agents, arranging financing, reviewing property details, and maintaining awareness of local zoning, tax, and building rules. Those are harder to automate than a listing description or first-pass prospecting email.
The employment data is steady, but the work is not. BLS projects the combined occupation to add 16,500 jobs by 2034. That does not mean every part of an agent's day is safe. Most brokers and agents are self-employed, and commission income is sensitive to local market volume, interest rates, inventory, and lead flow. AI can change who wins listings, how many clients one agent can serve, and how much admin work a team needs even if the occupation count keeps growing.
Recent commission and buyer-agent changes raise the bar. NAR's 2024 settlement-related practice changes moved offers of compensation off MLSs and require agents working with a buyer to have a written buyer agreement before touring a home. That is not an AI change, but it makes the agent's value more explicit. Agents who can only provide search access and appointment scheduling are easier to pressure. Agents who can explain risk, prepare strategy, and guide a client through a high-stakes transaction have a stronger case.
Which Real Estate Agent Tasks Can AI Automate Today?
AI can already automate or heavily assist real estate agent tasks such as marketing, lead follow-up, listing summaries, first-pass valuation research, and transaction checklists. The 2025 REAL benchmark tested large language models across 5,316 housing transaction and service scenarios, and RPR's 2026 survey found agents already cite saving time as AI's top value. Those signals explain why AI is useful for drafts, summaries, and first-pass analysis but weaker at inspection, pricing judgment, negotiation, and licensed accountability.
| Task | AI pressure | Why the agent still matters |
|---|---|---|
| Listing copy and posts | High | Verifies facts, avoids fair housing risk, approves public claims |
| Lead follow-up | High | Decides when to step in personally and how to handle serious buyers |
| Buyer search matches | High | Explains tradeoffs AI may miss: layout, location, noise, resale risk |
| CMA draft or AVM | Medium | Chooses the right comps and adjusts for condition, timing, and inventory |
| Showing reminders and transaction checklists | Medium | Owns deadlines, catches exceptions, escalates issues before they threaten the deal |
| Offer and contract summaries | Medium | Reviews terms, explains risk, involves broker or attorney when needed |
| Inspection response | Low | Decides which repairs or credits are worth negotiating |
| Price and terms negotiation | Low | Reads leverage, emotion, urgency, and local market behavior |
| Broker supervision | Low | Takes responsibility for compliance, disclosures, and agent conduct |
AI pressure reflects how much of the task AI can draft, summarize, match, or track today; current adoption evidence; and whether a licensed agent or broker still has to make the call. It is not a prediction that the task disappears.
The easiest tasks to automate are the ones built from facts already in the MLS, CRM, or transaction file. Listing copy is the clearest example. If the job is turning property facts into a readable paragraph, AI is already strong enough for a first draft. RPR's 2026 AI survey found that saving time ranked as the top value agents cited.
That does not make the draft publishable. A listing description can misstate square footage, exaggerate a feature, imply something about protected classes, or miss a disclosure issue. RPR's 2026 survey found 63% of agents cite accuracy as a top AI concern, 49% cite compliance or legal issues, 47% cite market-data misinterpretation, and 28% cite fair housing concerns. Those are not abstract worries. They are the exact failure modes that matter in real estate marketing.
Valuation is where the "AI will replace agents" case looks strongest and still falls short. Zillow says its Zestimate has a nationwide median error rate of 1.74% for on-market homes, but 7.20% for off-market homes. Redfin reports 1.95% for on-market homes and 7.49% for off-market homes. These tools are useful. They also show why pricing is not finished by software: data quality, condition, renovations, buyer demand, list timing, and negotiation strategy still matter.
Academic benchmarking points in the same direction. Zhu and Han concluded that large language models still have significant room for improvement before they can handle the real-estate-agent role at a human level. AI can help with parts of the job, but representing a buyer or seller from start to finish is much harder.
How Are Real Estate Agents Actually Using AI in 2026?
Real estate AI adoption is already visible inside agent work, especially content, marketing, search, reports, and follow-up. NAR's 2025 Technology Survey found 20% of agents use AI daily and 22% use it weekly, while 17% reported a significantly positive business impact and 33% reported a moderately positive impact. The data shows agents treating AI as a helper rather than handing whole deals to software.
- AI use still has room to spread. NAR's 2025 Technology Survey found 27% of agents use AI tools a few times a month and 32% have not used AI in their business.
- Listing content is the clearest use case. The same NAR survey found 46% use AI-generated content, such as listing descriptions. That maps directly to the high-pressure tasks in the table above.
- ChatGPT is the default tool. NAR reported ChatGPT at 58% usage among top AI tools, followed by Gemini at 20% and Copilot at 15%.
- Planning to use AI is now the norm. Among 225 NAR-member agents in RPR's 2026 survey, 92% said they are using AI now or plan to use it, while 8% said they are not using it and do not plan to.
- Agents already use digital tools every day. NAR's 2025 Technology Survey found eSignature at 79%, social media at 75%, and drone photo or video use at 52%. AI is entering an industry where large parts of the transaction are already digital.
- Clients are not rejecting technology. NAR reported 82% of agents said their clients responded positively or very positively to technology in the buying and selling process.
The adoption pattern is practical. Agents are not waiting for a perfect real estate robot. They are using AI where the cost of a bad draft is manageable: listing descriptions, social content, email replies, market-summary drafts, and report preparation. The cost of a bad negotiation decision, missed deadline, fair housing problem, or pricing error is much higher, so those tasks remain review-heavy.
Client behavior is the biggest reason full replacement is unlikely. The buyer and seller usage rates in NAR's 2025 Profile are high, but the more useful detail is why clients used agents. More than half of buyers valued that their agent pointed out property features or flaws they had not noticed, and 76% of first-time buyers credited their agent with helping them understand the process. Those are not needs most clients have already decided to handle alone.
Seller behavior adds a market test that years of improving portal tools have not changed. NAR's 2025 Profile found FSBO sales fell to 5% of all transactions, while agent-assisted homes sold at a $425,000 median price against $360,000 for FSBO homes. That median-price gap does not prove the agent alone caused the difference, but it does show that self-service selling has not become the default choice for most sellers. The pattern has persisted through successive waves of AVMs, online listings, and AI-generated marketing copy, which suggests the agent's value in a seller transaction is not content or search access but pricing judgment, negotiation, and the ability to qualify buyers before an offer becomes a problem.
AI adoption does not remove fee pressure. It can increase it. Once a buyer can search, compare, and ask an AI assistant for explanations, a buyer agent has to prove value beyond access to listings. Once a seller can get instant valuation estimates and AI-written marketing copy, a listing agent has to prove value beyond a polished paragraph. The value that remains is not "I have information." It is "I can apply the information to your deal and stand behind the advice."
Which Real Estate Jobs Face the Most AI Pressure?
The real estate jobs under the most AI pressure are built on repeatable marketing, basic search help, lead qualification, and transaction coordination. NAR's 2024 practice-change notice says agents working with a buyer must have a written buyer agreement before touring a home, which makes basic buyer-agent value more explicit before the work begins. These jobs are not disappearing overnight, but commissions, staffing needs, and time spent per deal are under pressure.
Marketing-led listing work is exposed because the output is draftable. If an agent's main differentiator is writing descriptions, social posts, open-house copy, neighborhood blurbs, and seller update emails, AI can now produce a usable first draft in seconds. The exposed role is not "listing agent" as a whole. It is the listing agent whose service feels like content production rather than pricing strategy, prep advice, market timing, and negotiation.
Lead qualification relies on the same questions before the real sales conversation starts. Many ISAs and inside-sales teams use the same basic screeners: budget, timeframe, financing status, location, property type, and readiness to meet. AI can draft replies, score leads, route urgent prospects, and keep long-term follow-up moving. A human still matters when the prospect is anxious, skeptical, high value, or ready to make a decision. The routine follow-up between first inquiry and appointment is where AI can take time out of the process.
The 2024 buyer-agreement changes make basic search help easier to challenge. Buyer agreements make representation more explicit before touring a home. That means a buyer can ask: what am I paying for? If the answer is "I can send listings and schedule showings," AI search tools and portals are a direct substitute for much of that work. A buyer agent who can interpret inspection risk, explain contingencies, frame an offer, and negotiate credits is in a different position.
Digital paperwork made transaction coordination easier for AI to enter. eSignature and transaction management were already common before the current AI wave, and NAR's tech data confirms that much of the paperwork is digital. AI can summarize documents, flag missing fields, draft deadline reminders, and prepare checklists. The remaining human value is deadline judgment, escalation, and knowing when a small form issue can become a contract problem.
The hardest exposed group may be new agents still selling basic information. BLS says sales agents improve through practice and often learn by observing senior agents. AI weakens the training value of routine tasks because drafts, scripts, searches, and summaries are easier to produce. That does not close the entry-level path, but it changes what a new agent must learn faster: local inventory, inspection patterns, financing friction, offer strategy, and how to build trust when the client has already asked AI five questions before calling.
Which Real Estate Jobs Are Safer From AI?
The safer real estate jobs are built on pricing judgment, negotiation, property condition, compliance, and relationships. BLS reports that 54% of both brokers and sales agents are self-employed, while NAR's 2025 Profile found FSBO sales fell to 5% and agent-assisted homes had a $425,000 median price versus $360,000 for FSBO homes. AI can support these jobs, but it cannot take the local, licensed, and personal responsibility that makes them valuable.
Experienced listing agents are safer when pricing is the job. AVMs are useful anchors, but the Zillow and Redfin error split shows the gap between a listed, data-rich home and an off-market or unusual property. A strong listing agent decides which comps to trust, how to price against current inventory, whether to pre-market, which repairs to make, how to handle multiple offers, and when to push back on a seller's price expectation. AI can draft the report. It cannot walk the home, smell damp in the basement, notice a bad layout, or read how the seller will react to a price cut.
Buyer agents are safer when they reduce risk, not when they send listings. NAR's 2025 Profile gives the reason: buyers valued agents for finding the right home, negotiating terms, handling paperwork, noticing features or flaws, and helping first-time buyers understand the process. These are in-person, judgment-heavy tasks. An AI tool can explain an inspection contingency. It cannot stand in the house, watch a buyer get emotionally attached, and still press on roof age, sewer scope, HOA rules, flood risk, or repair credit strategy.
Brokers and team leaders have stronger protection because supervision carries accountability. BLS and O*NET both separate broker responsibilities from sales-agent work. Brokers supervise agents, manage business details, stay current on local rules, and deal with transaction risk. AI can help with monitoring, draft review, and training material. The broker still owns the judgment call when a listing description may violate fair housing rules, an agent mishandles a disclosure, or a contract issue needs escalation.
Specialists with deep local or niche deal experience are safer than generalists. This includes luxury, relocation, investor, distressed-sale, land, and commercial-focused agents. BLS notes that some brokers and agents sell commercial, industrial, agricultural, and other property types. The capability gap is deal-specific risk judgment: AI can summarize zoning notes, financing terms, rent rolls, repair lists, or buyer preferences, but it cannot inspect the site, verify local constraints, read counterparties, or decide which risk should change price, terms, or whether the client should walk away. That is not a separate BLS category, but it follows from how these deals work.
The strongest long-term position is not "agent versus AI." It is an agent who uses AI for the routine parts and spends the saved time on work clients cannot safely outsource: pricing calls, negotiation, explaining risk, offer strategy, local context, and post-inspection decisions. The weak position is treating AI as a toy while competitors use it to respond faster and prepare better.
How Should Real Estate Agents Learn AI?
Real estate agents should learn AI by pairing it with the tasks already changing: listing marketing, CMA preparation, lead follow-up, transaction review, and client education. RPR's 2026 survey found 71% of agents cite saving time as AI's top value and 68% save at least one hour per week. The goal is faster drafts, better review habits, and less blind trust in AI output.
1. AI draft review and fact-checking. Every AI-generated listing description, neighborhood summary, buyer email, or market paragraph needs a fact check. Agents should verify square footage, school references, HOA details, room counts, permit claims, pricing claims, and language that could raise fair housing concerns. RPR's 2026 survey confirms the stakes: accuracy, compliance, market-data misinterpretation, and fair housing all appear in agents' top AI concerns.
What this looks like in practice: an agent asks AI for three listing-description drafts, then checks each against the MLS sheet, seller disclosures, county records, brokerage style rules, and fair housing guidance before anything goes live. The skill is not clever prompts. It is review discipline.
2. CMA and AVM review. Agents need to know when an automated value is useful and when it is misleading. A useful AI process can summarize recent comps, identify price bands, and draft a seller-facing explanation. The agent still decides which comps should be excluded, whether a remodel is reflected in public data, how current inventory affects list price, and what price will produce the desired buyer behavior.
What this looks like in practice: AI drafts a CMA using five nearby sales. The agent removes two comps because one backed to a busy road and one had a finished basement the subject property lacks. The final pricing advice changes. That judgment is the value.
3. Lead sorting and CRM follow-up. AI can draft fast responses, summarize call notes, group leads by urgency, and remind agents which leads need follow-up. This is where speed matters. The risk is sounding generic or mishandling a sensitive client situation, so agents need reusable prompts tied to their market, brokerage rules, and client type.
What this looks like in practice: a buyer inquiry comes in at 9:40 p.m. AI drafts a short reply, identifies the buyer's timeline and financing question, and creates a morning call task. The agent edits the reply so it sounds local and specific before sending.
4. Transaction and negotiation prep. AI can summarize inspection reports, draft repair-request options, compare offer terms, and prepare client-friendly explanations. Agents should use it to prepare, not to decide. The licensed person still weighs bargaining position, state forms, seller motivation, client risk tolerance, and broker guidance.
What this looks like in practice: AI turns a 42-page inspection report into a categorized list of safety, cost, and maintenance items. The agent uses that list to decide which two or three issues are worth negotiating and which ones would weaken the buyer's position.
What Are the Best AI Courses for Real Estate Agents?
The best AI courses for real estate agents are practical, short, and non-coding. RPR's 2026 survey found 30% of agents cite the learning curve as an AI concern, and NAR requires Fair Housing or Anti-Bias training every 3 years for REALTOR members. That means AI training should focus on prompt use, output checking, reusable listing and follow-up templates, and safe client explanations inside professional boundaries.
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Best for: agents who want a clear AI foundation without technical depth.
This is the simplest fit for listing drafts, client emails, market summaries, and safe everyday AI use. It is a better starting point than a coding course for most agents.
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Prompt Engineering for ChatGPT (Vanderbilt)
Best for: reusable prompts for marketing, CMAs, lead follow-up, and client explanations.
The course is most useful if you want repeatable prompts rather than one-off ChatGPT experiments. That fits brokerage templates and team playbooks.
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Best for: agents who plan to take several AI, marketing, data, or business courses in one year.
The linked guide covers the break-even math. For a real estate agent, Plus makes more sense if you will take multiple courses, not if you only need one AI intro.
None of these courses replaces state licensing, MLS training, broker supervision, fair housing training, or local contract education. They are useful because they help agents use AI inside those boundaries.
How We Researched This
This real estate-agent analysis synthesizes 13 sources, including BLS, O*NET, NAR, RPR, Zillow, Redfin, and the REAL benchmark, across three categories:
- Government and labor-market data (5): BLS OOH for Real Estate Brokers and Sales Agents, O*NET Real Estate Sales Agents, O*NET Real Estate Brokers, and the O*NET national employment trends pages for each occupation.
- Industry, market, and professional-standards sources (7): NAR 2025 Technology Survey, RPR 2026 AI survey, NAR 2025 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, NAR 2024 practice-change implementation notice, NAR Fair Housing Training Requirement, Zillow Zestimate accuracy data, and Redfin Estimate accuracy data.
- Academic benchmark (1): Zhu and Han's 2025 REAL benchmark on large language models in housing transactions and services.
Author. Evan Selway synthesized this analysis in April 2026 from primary labor-market data, real estate industry surveys, professional-standards sources, valuation-tool accuracy pages, and current AI research. Evan is positioned as an AI and online learning analyst, not a licensed real estate broker. Every role classification in this article is supported by at least one task-level signal plus at least one labor-market, adoption, or consumer-behavior signal.
Classifications used in this article:
- Most exposed: repeatable work using MLS, CRM, or transaction data, current AI adoption evidence, weak need for physical presence, and limited licensed judgment.
- Safer: work that depends on negotiation, physical property context, local judgment, compliance accountability, broker supervision, or high-trust client decisions.
- AI pressure (task table): current AI capability, adoption evidence, and the need for human review or licensed sign-off. Not a timeline prediction.
What this analysis did not do:
- No original survey research.
- No proprietary MLS transaction dataset.
- No licensed job-posting database.
- No prediction that a specific number of agents will be displaced by a specific year.
Editorial independence. This page is editorially independent. Course recommendations are not paid or sponsored, though internal links point to affiliated course guides where relevant.
Freshness. Reviewed April 2026. Updated when BLS OOH refreshes, when NAR or RPR publish newer AI adoption data, or when major valuation platforms update their public accuracy figures.
Frequently Asked Questions
Will AI replace real estate agents before 2030?
No credible public data shows agents being replaced by 2030. The federal outlook runs in the opposite direction: modest growth through 2034 and tens of thousands of annual openings. AI will change the work before it replaces the job.
Will AI replace Realtors?
No. "Realtor" refers to a member of the National Association of Realtors, while BLS tracks real estate brokers and sales agents. AI can automate many tasks Realtors perform, especially marketing drafts and lead follow-up, but it does not replace the licensed representation role as a whole.
Is real estate still a good career in 2026?
Yes, if you build value beyond search access and basic listing marketing. The employment outlook is stable, and consumers still use agents for most transactions. The catch is that income can be irregular, and AI raises the bar for speed, client service, and proof of value.
Can AI price a house better than a real estate agent?
Sometimes it can provide a strong starting point, especially for listed homes with current market data. Zillow and Redfin both report on-market median error rates below 2%, but their off-market error rates are much higher. Neither tool replaces local pricing strategy, property-condition judgment, or negotiation planning.
Will AI replace buyer agents?
AI will pressure buyer agents who mainly send listings, summarize neighborhoods, and schedule showings. Buyer agents are safer when they help clients evaluate flaws, understand contingencies, compare offer strategies, handle inspection issues, and negotiate terms.
Will AI replace listing agents?
AI will automate much of the listing-marketing work, including descriptions, social posts, email drafts, and first-pass market summaries. Listing agents remain safer when their value comes from pricing strategy, home-prep advice, offer management, seller counseling, and negotiation.
What AI skills should real estate agents learn?
Real estate agents should learn AI draft review, CMA and AVM review, CRM follow-up, and transaction-summary review. The skill is not trusting AI. The skill is using it to draft faster while catching errors before they reach a client or the public.
Are AI courses worth it for real estate agents?
Yes, when the course is practical and non-coding. Short AI courses are useful for agents who want better listing drafts, faster client communication, reusable prompts, and safer review habits. They are not a substitute for licensing, MLS training, broker guidance, or fair housing education.
Sources
Government and labor-market data
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. "Occupational Outlook Handbook: Real Estate Brokers and Sales Agents." Last modified August 28, 2025. https://www.bls.gov/ooh/sales/real-estate-brokers-and-sales-agents.htm
- O*NET OnLine. "41-9022.00 Real Estate Sales Agents." Updated 2026. https://www.onetonline.org/link/summary/41-9022.00
- O*NET OnLine. "41-9021.00 Real Estate Brokers." Updated 2026. https://www.onetonline.org/link/summary/41-9021.00
- O*NET OnLine. "National Employment Trends: 41-9022.00 Real Estate Sales Agents." Source: BLS 2024–2034 employment projections. https://www.onetonline.org/link/localtrends/41-9022.00
- O*NET OnLine. "National Employment Trends: 41-9021.00 Real Estate Brokers." Source: BLS 2024–2034 employment projections. https://www.onetonline.org/link/localtrends/41-9021.00
Industry and market sources
- National Association of Realtors. "REALTORS Embrace AI, Digital Tools to Enhance Client Service, NAR Survey Finds." September 18, 2025. https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/realtors-embrace-ai-digital-tools-to-enhance-client-service-nar-survey-finds
- National Association of Realtors / Realtors Property Resource. "You've Tried AI, But Can You Trust It?" February 12, 2026. https://www.nar.realtor/magazine/real-estate-news/technology/youve-tried-ai-but-can-you-trust-it
- National Association of Realtors. "NAR 2025 Profile of Home Buyers, Sellers Reveals Market Extremes." November 4, 2025. https://www.nar.realtor/magazine/real-estate-news/nar-2025-profile-of-home-buyers-sellers-reveals-market-extremes
- National Association of Realtors. "National Association of Realtors Reminds Members and Consumers of Real Estate Practice Change Implementation on August 17, 2024." August 1, 2024. https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/national-association-of-realtors-reminds-members-and-consumers-of-real-estate-practice-change
- National Association of Realtors. "Fair Housing Training Requirement." https://www.nar.realtor/about-nar/governing-documents/code-of-ethics/code-of-ethics-training/fair-housing-requirement
- Zillow. "What is a Zestimate?" Last updated March 6, 2026. https://www.zillow.com/zestimate/
- Redfin. "About the Redfin Estimate." Updated September 2025. https://www.redfin.com/redfin-estimate
Academic
- Zhu, K., & Han, Y. (2025). "REAL: Benchmarking Abilities of Large Language Models for Housing Transactions and Services." arXiv:2507.03477. https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.03477
What to Read Next
If you are comparing career paths, read Will AI Replace Accountants? next. If you want to build practical AI skills for listing marketing, client communication, and review habits, start with Google AI Essentials or compare options in the AI course guides. Author: Evan Selway. This article was last reviewed in April 2026.